UFC Rob Font vs David Martinez Odds & AI Pick

Rob Font vs David Martinez Fight Analysis

Introduction

On Saturday, September 13, 2025, fight fans will descend on the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas, for UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs Silva. Among the electrifying matchups on the Main Card, the Bantamweight contest between Rob Font and David Martinez promises fireworks. The action is set to begin at 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT, with Font vs. Martinez slated as one of the pivotal bouts that could reshape the 135-pound division’s landscape.

Rob Font, a veteran of the Octagon with a 22-8-0 record and currently ranked #9 in the Bantamweight division, enters as the consensus favorite on the moneyline at -210 (BetOnline.ag). The Puerto Rico–born striker boasts a well-rounded arsenal:

• 9 KOs and 4 submissions over his career
• 46% significant strike accuracy paired with a 57% defense rate
• A respectable 34% takedown accuracy and 42% takedown defense

At 38 years old, Font is hungry to extend his two-fight win streak—most recently edging out Jean Matsumoto by split decision in February—and reestablish himself among the division’s elite.

Standing across the cage is David Martinez, the +180 underdog making only his second official UFC appearance. The 27-year-old Mexican prospect exploded onto the scene in March, debuting with a first-round KO of Saimon Oliveira. Though unranked, Martinez’s underlying numbers are intriguing:

• 52% significant strike accuracy with an impressive 67% defense
• A perfect 100% takedown defense, despite having yet to attempt or record a takedown of his own
• An average fight time of 9:49, indicating he can both press the action and weather early storms

This clash of styles—Font’s veteran striker pedigree versus Martinez’s aggressive, power-punching debutante—sets the stage for a compelling chess match. Will the experienced Font utilize his diverse toolkit to neutralize Martinez’s speed and power? Or will the young underdog continue his upset trajectory, leveraging precision strikes and defensive mastery to shock the division?

As both competitors prepare to leave everything in the Octagon, bettors and analysts alike will be poring over these key factors: durability, cardio, and the ability to impose one’s will. With so much at stake—Font aiming to climb back into top-five contention, Martinez looking to announce himself as a future contender—this bantamweight battle could be the sleeper hit of UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs Silva.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Rob Font vs David Martinez can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lopes vs Silva can be found on the Lopes vs Silva event page.

Matchup Breakdown and Fighter Profiles

Rob Font Profile

Age & Origin

• 38 years old, hailing from Leominster, United States (Puerto Rico lineage)
• UFC debut on Jul. 5, 2014; over a decade of high-level competition

Fighting Style & Physicals

• Primary Style: Well-rounded striker with a mix of boxing and Muay Thai
• Height: 68″ | Reach: 71.5″ (arms) / 38.5″ (legs)
• Weight Class: Bantamweight (#9 ranked)

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

1. Win vs. Jean Matsumoto (Feb. 2025) – Split Decision
2. Win vs. Kyler Phillips (Oct. 2024) – Unanimous Decision
3. Loss vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Dec. 2023) – Unanimous Decision
4. Loss vs. Cory Sandhagen (Aug. 2023) – Unanimous Decision
5. Win vs. Adrian Yanez (Apr. 2023) – KO/TKO, R1 (2:57)

Overall, Font is 3-2 in his last five, demonstrating resilience against top-10 foes and finishing flair against dangerous strikers like Yanez.

Strengths

• Finishing Power: 9 career KOs and 9 first-round stoppages—Font can end fights in a flash.
• Versatility: 46% significant strike accuracy combined with a 34% takedown rate keeps opponents guessing.
• Experience: Over 30 UFC bouts; seasoned game-planning and ability to adjust mid-fight.

Weaknesses

• Defense Vulnerabilities: 57% significant strike defense and just 42% takedown defense suggest lapses under pressure.
• Aging Durability: At 38, cardio and recoverability could falter if dragged into deep waters.
• Wrestling Exposure: Grappling can be exploited—higher-level wrestlers may neutralize his striking.

---

David Martinez Profile

Age & Origin

• 27 years old, born and raised in Mexico City, Mexico
• Made his UFC debut on Mar. 29, 2025 with an emphatic first-round KO

Fighting Style & Physicals

• Primary Style: Aggressive striker with boxing fundamentals and counter-punching instincts
• Height: 65″ | Reach: 67.5″ (arms) / 37.5″ (legs)
• Weight Class: Bantamweight (unranked prospect)

Recent Form (Last 3 Recorded Fights)

1. Win vs. Saimon Oliveira (Mar. 2025) – KO/TKO, R1 (4:38)
2. Regional Win #1 – Decision (Date/Details vary)
3. Regional Win #2 – Decision (Date/Details vary)

Martinez is riding a 7-fight win streak (12–1 overall), with his lone defeat coming early in his career. His UFC debut showcased elite timing and power.

Strengths

• Striking Accuracy: Lands 52% of significant strikes; picks his spots and counters effectively.
• Defensive Prowess: Boasts a 67% strike defense and perfect 100% takedown defense—hard to hit or ground.
• Youth & Gas Tank: Average fight time of 9:49 indicates he maintains volume and pace into the later rounds.

Weaknesses

• Limited Grappling Offense: 0% takedown accuracy points to a one-dimensional approach; may struggle to change levels.
• Inexperience: Only one UFC fight; stepping up to a seasoned vet like Font is a significant leap.
• Unproven at Distance: Has yet to be tested over 15 minutes in the UFC octagon.

---

Head-to-Head Dynamics
This clash pits Font’s veteran savvy and knockout pedigree against Martinez’s youthful precision and defensive wizardry. Font will look to pressure and mix levels, but must respect Martinez’s counter-striking and takedown defense. Conversely, Martinez needs to leverage movement, target the body, and avoid firefights in Font’s power zone. The battle of experience vs. explosiveness makes this bantamweight bout a must-see for analysts and bettors alike.

Betting Odds and Line Movement

Current Betting Odds

As of the latest update, the consensus lines at BetOnline.ag show:

• Rob Font: –210 (favorite)
• David Martinez: +180 (underdog)

This spread highlights Font as a solid favorite in San Antonio, with Martinez stepping in as the live dog despite his impressive UFC debut. The 50-cent vig baked into these lines makes the favorite’s edge even more pronounced.

Line Movement History

Both fighters opened on the same platform—and the shifts have been noteworthy:

Rob Font (–170 → –180 → –185 → –210)
David Martinez (+145 → +155 → +160 → +180)

• Initial Lines (Sept. 4, 9:28 PM ET): Font opened at –170, Martinez at +145.
• Midnight Push: By 9:43 PM, Font slipped to –180 while Martinez ticked to +155.
• Late Drifts: At 10:17 PM, Font was –185; Martinez +160.
• Current Pricing (Sept. 5, 5:55 AM ET): Font sits at –210, Martinez at +180.

The four-point swing on Font’s moneyline and the 35-point move on Martinez’s number indicates heavy action on Font. Sharp bettors appear to be backing the veteran, pushing the line toward a stronger favorite stance.

Best Sportsbook to Bet

For this fight, BetOnline.ag remains the top choice based on:

• Competitive juice (–110/.–110 cut)
• Consistently accurate line updates
• User-friendly interface and fast payouts

If you’re placing action on Font vs. Martinez, locking in your odds here ensures you’re getting one of the juiciest margins on the market.

Hypothetical $1,000 Bet Payouts

• Rob Font at –210:
  • If you wager $1,000 on Font, a successful bet returns $1,476 (your $1,000 stake plus $476 profit).
  • Implied win probability: ~68%

• David Martinez at +180:
  • If you put $1,000 on Martinez, you’d collect $2,800 (your $1,000 stake plus $1,800 profit).
  • Implied win probability: ~36%

Key Takeaways

• Font’s Line Strengthening: Movement from –170 to –210 underscores confidence in his experience and striking pedigree.
• Martinez’s Upside: Despite drifting to +180, he offers tremendous value for risk-tolerant bettors.
• Probability Edge: Font’s implied ~68% chance to win vs. Martinez’s ~36% frames the veteran as a clear betting favorite.

Whether you lean toward the tested veteran or side with the young contender, understanding the odds history and payout scenarios will help you make an informed pick for UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs Silva.