Cody Gibson vs Aori Qileng – UFC Odds & Fight Analysis

Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng Fight Analysis

Introduction

Get ready for an electrifying Bantamweight showdown at UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs Allen, as Cody Gibson (37, United States) takes on Aoriqileng (31, China) on Saturday, October 18, 2025. This pivotal clash is slated for the Main Card at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia, and is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM local time (23:00 UTC). Both fighters will climb into the Octagon hungry for victory, but sportsbooks have already spoken: Cody Gibson enters as the favorite at -120, while Aori Qileng slots in as a close underdog at +100.

Fight Details

• Event: UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs Allen
• Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
• Start Time: 7:00 PM PT / 23:00 UTC
• Venue: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
• Card Position: Main Card (Stage 3)
• Weight Class: Bantamweight (136 lbs)

This bout represents a clash of styles, experience and momentum. Gibson is a seasoned veteran making his way back up the ranks after a recent submission loss to Damon Blackshear in March 2025. Aoriqileng, a rising talent from Inner Mongolia, China, looks to rebound following two straight decision defeats in 2024 and 2025.

The Favorite: Cody Gibson

• Record: 22–11–0
• Age: 37
• UFC Debut: Feb. 22, 2014
• Key Stats:
  • Sig Strike Accuracy: 46%
  • Sig Strike Defense: 58%
  • Takedown Defense: 70%
  • First Round Finishes: 7

Cody Gibson brings a well-rounded MMA arsenal into this contest. Known for his sturdy takedown defense (70%) and clutch submission game (6 career wins by tapout), Gibson is comfortable dictating the pace on the feet and on the canvas. His ability to neutralize opponent grappling and turn scrambles into offense makes him the slight betting favorite.

The Underdog: Aoriqileng

• Record: 25–11–0
• Age: 31
• UFC Debut: Apr. 24, 2021
• Key Stats:
  • Sig Strike Accuracy: 50%
  • Sig Strike Defense: 49%
  • Takedown Accuracy: 47%
  • First Round Finishes: 8

Aori Qileng is an explosive striker with impressive accuracy (50%) and nearly half of his takedown attempts finding the mark (47%). His 8 first-round finishes underscore his knockout power and submission prowess early in fights. Despite a challenging 2024–25 stretch, Aoriqileng’s resilience and finishing mentality make him a dangerous underdog who can swing momentum with a single strike or scramble.

What to Watch For

• Grappling Exchanges: Can Gibson’s superior takedown defense keep Aori off his bike?
• Striking Efficiency: Will Aori’s +50% significant strike accuracy find its home, or will Gibson’s defense (58%) frustrate him?
• Fight IQ & Cardio: At 37, Gibson’s veteran savvy is tested against a younger, dynamic Aoriqileng known for his pace.

This fight promises to be a technical chess match with potential fireworks. Will Gibson validate his favorite status, or will Aoriqileng seize the upset? Stay tuned for what could be one of the most compelling Bantamweight battles of the evening.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for de Ridder vs Allen can be found on the de Ridder vs Allen event page.

Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng Matchup and Fighter Profiles

The Matchup

This Bantamweight clash at UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs Allen pits two contrasting veterans against one another. At 37 years old, Cody Gibson brings seasoned grappling and defensive prowess, while 31-year-old Aori Qileng counters with explosive striking and cement-strong finishing instincts. Both fighters enter this Main Card bout at Rogers Arena with identical 2–3 records in their last five outings, making momentum and tactical execution key factors on October 18, 2025.

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Aoriqileng Profile

Age & Origin: 31, Inner Mongolia, China
Fighting Style: Electric striker with heavy hands and a solid wrestling attack
UFC Debut: April 24, 2021
Overall Record: 25–11–0

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

• Sept. 14, 2024: Loss (Decision – Unanimous) vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
• Feb. 10, 2024: Loss (Could Not Continue – Injury) vs. Daniel Marcos
• Oct. 7, 2023: Win (Decision – Unanimous) vs. Johnny Muñoz
• June 10, 2023: Loss (KO/TKO – 1st Round) vs. Aiemann Zahabi
• Aug. 20, 2022: Win (Decision – Unanimous) vs. Jay Perrin

Aori has alternated wins and losses, showcasing explosive first-round finishing ability but also occasional lapses in defense.

Strengths

• Significant Strike Accuracy (50%): Aori lands half of his power shots, making every exchange dangerous.
• Takedown Offense (47%): Nearly one in two takedown attempts connects, giving him a versatile attack.
• First-Round Finishes (8): His early-fight explosiveness can overwhelm opponents before they find their rhythm.

Weaknesses

• Strike Defense (49%): He absorbs significant strikes at a high rate, leaving him vulnerable in firefights.
• Durability Against Power: The first-round KO loss to Zahabi highlights his occasional susceptibility to heavy hitters.
• Inconsistency in Cardio: Two decision losses suggest potential gas-tank issues in later rounds.

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Cody Gibson Profile

Age & Origin: 37, United States
Fighting Style: Well-rounded MMA base with defensive wrestling and submission prowess
UFC Debut: February 22, 2014
Overall Record: 22–11–0

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

• March 15, 2025: Loss (Submission – R2) vs. Damon Blackshear
• Nov. 2, 2024: Win (Decision – Unanimous) vs. Chad Anheliger
• July 20, 2024: Win (Submission – R1) vs. Brian Kelleher
• March 23, 2024: Loss (Decision – Unanimous) vs. Miles Johns
• Aug. 19, 2023: Loss (Decision – Unanimous) vs. Brad Katona

Gibson has showcased his grappling résumé with back-to-back wins but suffered three decision defeats, indicating close battles that didn’t swing his way.

Strengths

• Takedown Defense (70%): Elite at keeping fights standing or reversing opponent’s wrestle attempts.
• Submission Finishes (6): A dangerous BJJ black belt capable of ending fights on the mat.
• Significant Strike Defense (58%): Effectively neutralizes incoming offense, forcing opponents to work harder for openings.

Weaknesses

• Takedown Offense (38%): Less reliable at initiating wrestling exchanges, potentially ceding control.
• Striking Output (46% Accuracy): While defensively sound, his offensive firepower lacks the sharp precision of top strikers.
• Age & Pace: At 37, his gas tank and recovery between high-pace exchanges could be tested by a younger foe.

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Summary:
This bout will feature Aori Qileng’s dynamic striking and finishing instincts versus Cody Gibson’s veteran grappling savvy and defensive mastery. Key questions: Can Aori’s hands and early pace crack Gibson’s defense? Or will Gibson’s takedown walls and submission IQ neutralize the Chinese contender? The answer will hinge on strategic execution, cardio management, and each fighter’s ability to impose their strengths upon the other.

Betting Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds Overview

As of October 7, 2025, the betting lines at BetOnline.ag show a tightly contested Bantamweight bout between Cody Gibson and Aori Qileng.

• Cody Gibson: −120 (favorite)
• Aori Qileng: +100 (underdog)

Gibson’s status as the slight favorite at −120 implies that sportsbooks see him as having a modest edge—he must risk $120 to win $100. In contrast, Aori Qileng’s even‐money (+100) line means a $100 bet returns $100, reflecting a near 50/50 proposition.

Line Movement Analysis

Since the odds opened on October 7, there has been no significant movement in either fighter’s line. Both Gibson (−120) and Aori (+100) have held steady at BetOnline.ag, indicating balanced action on both sides and no major sharp‐money or public‐betting swings. While some fight cards see odds shift several points as news breaks—injury reports, media hype, or late‐breaking betting trends—this contest remains stable. Bettors can interpret the flat line as a sign that neither camp has gained a clear betting advantage, making now an opportune moment to lock in your wager.

Betting Payout and Implied Probabilities

If you’re laying down $1,000 on either fighter today, here’s what you stand to collect:

• Cody Gibson (−120)
  – Risk: $1,000
  – Profit: $833.33
  – Total Return: $1,833.33
  – Implied Win Probability: roughly 55%

• Aori Qileng (+100)
  – Risk: $1,000
  – Profit: $1,000
  – Total Return: $2,000
  – Implied Win Probability: 50%

These payouts illustrate the trade‐off between backing the favorite, with a slightly higher chance to win but a smaller return, versus the underdog, where your dollars go twice as far if he pulls the upset. Remember, the implied probabilities hint at the sportsbook’s assessment of each athlete’s chance to walk away victorious—Gibson is viewed as a narrow favorite, while Aoriqileng is a live dog with enough power and grappling creativity to swing the bout.

Recommended Sportsbook

While multiple outlets will post lines for this matchup, BetOnline.ag offers the most transparent and competitive quotes at the moment. Their current lines have remained unchanged, suggesting deep liquidity and balanced action. If you’re seeking alternative options, check major books like DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM to compare promos—however, the “+100” on Aoriqileng and “−120” on Gibson at BetOnline.ag represent some of the softest lines you’ll find.

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Whether you trust Gibson’s veteran savvy or believe Aori’s explosive finishing instincts, the market’s equilibrium suggests this is one of the most finely balanced Bantamweight matchups on the card. Lock in your wager now before any late‐breaking news nudges these lines in one direction or the other.