Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista

UFC-321: Aspinall vs Gane

Find the best odds and up to date statistics for for Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista.

Event Details

Date: Oct 25, 2025

Location: Etihad Arena Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates

Cards: Main Card 6:00 pm ● Prelim Card 2:00 pm

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Umar Nurmagomedov
Mario Bautista
18/1/0Record (W::L::D)16/2/0
2Wins By Knockout3
7Wins By Submission6
5First Round Finishes5
13:48Avg Fight Time09:43
57%Sig Strike Accuracy %49%
61%Sig Strike Defense %56%
40%Take Down Accuracy %33%
79%Takedown Defence %68%
Umar Nurmagomedov
Mario Bautista
#2 Bantamweight DivisionTags#9 Bantamweight Division
68.00Height (in)69.00
135.00Weight (lb)135.00
69.00Arm Reach (in)72.00
39.00Leg Reach (in)39.00
Jan. 20, 2021UFC DebutJan. 19, 2019
Republic of Dagestan, RussiaBornWinnemucca, United States
MMAFighting StyleFreestyle
29Age32
Umar Nurmagomedov
Mario Bautista
OpponentMethodMethodOpponent
Merab Dvalishvili
01-18-2025
Decision - Unanimous
5 - 5:00
Patrick Mix
06-07-2025
Cory Sandhagen
08-03-2024
Decision - Unanimous
5 - 5:00
Decision - Split
3 - 5:00
Jose Aldo
10-05-2024
Bekzat Almakhan
03-02-2024
Decision - Unanimous
3 - 5:00
Decision - Unanimous
3 - 5:00
Ricky Simon
01-13-2024
Raoni Barcelos
01-14-2023
KO/TKO
1 - 4:40
Decision - Unanimous
3 - 5:00
Damon Blackshear
08-19-2023
Nate Maness
06-25-2022
Decision - Unanimous
3 - 5:00
Submission
1 - 3:18
Guido Cannetti
03-11-2023

Fight Details

Card: Main Card

Card Start Time: 6:00 PM

Umar Nurmagomedov
Mario Bautista

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista UFC 321 Odds & AI Pick

Fight Analysis & Predictions

Detailed Breakdown and Bettor Insights

Explore our in-depth fight analysis articles, providing expert predictions and bettor insights for the upcoming clash between these two fighters. Our analysts dive deep into fighters' stats, strategies, and previous performances to offer you the best betting tips and predictions.

Compare Betting Odds for Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista

When it comes to betting on UFC fights, understanding the odds offered by different bookmakers is crucial for maximizing your potential payouts. Below, we provide detailed insights into the odds for Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista, helping you make the most informed betting decisions.

Compare betting odds for Umar Nurmagomedov

Umar Nurmagomedov is currently the favored fighter with the average odds of -4116.

  • Worst odd for Umar Nurmagomedov: -20000
  • Best odd for Umar Nurmagomedov: -560 offered by BetRivers.

Potential Payouts for Betting on Umar Nurmagomedov

Payout is based on a $1,000 bet.

  • Payout at Best Odds: $178.57
  • Payout at Worst Odds: $5.00
  • Difference in payout: $173.57

Implied Probability of Winning for Umar Nurmagomedov

Bookmakers' odds reflect the implied probability of Umar Nurmagomedov winning:

  • Best Odds Implied Probability: 84.85%
  • Worst Odds Implied Probability: 99.50%
  • Difference in Implied Odds: 14.65%

Compare betting odds for Mario Bautista

Mario Bautista is currently the underdog fighter with the average odds of +1046.

  • Worst odd for Mario Bautista: +420
  • Best odd for Mario Bautista: +3000 offered by DraftKings.

Potential Payouts for Betting on Mario Bautista

Payout is based on a $1,000 bet.

  • Payout at Best Odds: $30,000.00
  • Payout at Worst Odds: $4,200.00
  • Difference in payout: $25,800.00

Implied Probability of Winning for Mario Bautista

Bookmakers' odds reflect the implied probability of Mario Bautista winning:

  • Best Odds Implied Probability: 3.23%
  • Worst Odds Implied Probability: 19.23%
  • Difference in Implied Odds: 16.00%

Use our odds converter tool to convert odds, calculate implied probability, and profit for any odds format.

ODDS HISTORY

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Frequently Asked Questions

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista starts at 2025-10-25 18:00:00 UTC.

The favorite fighter in Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista is: Umar Nurmagomedov. Currently, the best odds for Umar Nurmagomedov is -560 brought to you by BetRivers.

The underdog fighter in Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista is: Mario Bautista. Currently, the best odds for Mario Bautista is +3000 brought to you by DraftKings.

The bookmaker with the best odds if you want to bet on Umar Nurmagomedov is BetRivers. Current odds for BetRivers is -560.

The bookmaker with the best odds if you want to bet on Mario Bautista is DraftKings. Currently odds for DraftKings is +3000.

If you wanted to bet on the underdog, Mario Bautista, the best bookmaker is DraftKings (+3000). If you wanted to bet on the favored fighter, Umar Nurmagomedov, the best odds are offered by BetRivers (-560).