Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista - AI generated fight pick

Umar Nurmagomedov is the pick due to his superior overall skill set and statistical advantages in key areas. He has a higher significant strike accuracy (57% vs 49%) and better significant strike defense (61% vs 56%) than Mario Bautista. Umar also has a clear edge in grappling, with a higher takedown accuracy (40% vs 33%) and much stronger takedown defense (79% vs 68%). He is younger (29 vs 32), has a more proven record against top competition (recently defeating Cory Sandhagen), and is ranked #2 in the division compared to Bautista's #8. While Bautista is dangerous and has a slight reach advantage, historically fighters with Umar's Dagestani wrestling base and statistical profile win the majority of similar high-level bantamweight matchups. Umar's ability to dictate where the fight takes place and his efficiency make him the clear favorite.