Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos Odds & AI Pick

Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos Fight Analysis

Introduction

The featherweight clash between Giga Chikadze and Kevin Vallejos is set to light up the Main Card of UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Kape on Sunday, December 14, 2025, at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. Pitting a seasoned veteran of the Octagon against one of the sport’s most exciting rising talents, this bout promises fireworks from the opening bell.

• Event: UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Kape
• Date & Time: December 14, 2025 • 03:00 UTC (Main Card)
• Venue: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
• Weight Class: Featherweight (up to 146 lb)

The Favorite: Kevin Vallejos (Blue Corner)

Argentina’s unbeaten sensation Kevin Vallejos enters this showdown as the -240 favorite, according to current BetOnline.ag odds. Since making his UFC debut in March 2025, the 23-year-old striker has compiled a perfect 2-0 record inside the Octagon, showcasing a dynamic blend of power, precision, and finishing ability:

• Professional record: 16-1-0
• UFC record: 2-0-0
• Knockout prowess: 11 career KOs, 8 first-round finishes
• Striking accuracy: 46% significant strike connect rate
• Defensively sound: 57% significant strike defense

Vallejos has demonstrated consistency through all three rounds, securing a unanimous decision over Danny Silva (August 2025) and a first-round knockout of Seungwoo Choi (March 2025). His combination of crisp boxing, leg kicks, and improving takedown defense (83%) makes him a formidable test for anyone in the featherweight division—and he’ll be aiming to extend his highlight reel against a high-level opponent in Giga Chikadze.

The Underdog: Giga Chikadze (Red Corner)

In the opposite corner stands Giga Chikadze, the #15-ranked Georgian striker and veteran of 20 UFC fights. Currently a +205 underdog on the odds board, the 37-year-old karate stylist boasts a well-rounded résumé:

• Professional record: 15-5-0
• UFC tenure: Debuted in September 2019
• Stopping power: 9 knockouts, 9 first-round finishes
• Striking output: 43% accuracy, 60% defense
• Grappling: 33% takedown accuracy, 65% defense

Chikadze brings experience at the highest level, having faced elite foes like Arnold Allen, Calvin Kattar, and Edson Barboza. While he’s suffered back-to-back decision losses to David Onama and Arnold Allen in 2024–25, his last win—a unanimous decision over Alex Caceres in August 2023—reminds us that his kick-boxing arsenal remains elite. He’ll aim to exploit Vallejos’s relative inexperience by utilizing range, unorthodox angles, and fight-ending precision.

Betting Spotlight

• Favorite: Kevin Vallejos (-240)
• Underdog: Giga Chikadze (+205)

Oddsmakers favor Vallejos’s youth, finishing upside, and recent momentum, but Chikadze’s experience and veteran guile could swing this contest if he weather’s the Argentine’s early storm. Whether you side with the rising prospect or back the battle-tested Georgian, this featherweight duel is poised to be a must-watch encounter on the UFC APEX stage.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Kape can be found on the Royval vs Kape event page.

Matchup and Fighter Profiles

Kevin Vallejos (Blue Corner)

Age: 23
Country: Argentina
Fighting Style: Striker

Recent Form

• Win vs. Danny Silva (Aug. 2025) – Unanimous Decision
• Win vs. Seungwoo Choi (Mar. 2025) – KO/TKO, Round 1 (3:09)
• Overall pro record: 16-1-0, with 11 knockouts and 2 submissions

Since debuting in the UFC in March 2025, Vallejos has impressed with ruthless aggression and crisp striking. His two back-to-back wins have showcased both finishing power and stamina to go the distance.

Key Statistics

• Sig. Strike Accuracy: 46%
• Sig. Strike Defense: 57%
• Takedown Accuracy: 33%
• Takedown Defense: 83%
• Avg. Fight Time: 8:53
• First-Round Finishes: 8

Strengths

• Finishing Power: 11 career KOs, 8 in Round 1
• Defensive Wrestling: 83% takedowns stuffed
• Youth & Stamina: Maintains high pace and energy late into fights
• Striking Precision: Nearly half of his significant strikes land clean

Weaknesses

• Experience Level: Only two UFC outings, untested against top 15 opponents
• Striking Defense: 57% leaves openings for counterstrikes
• Grappling Offense: 33% takedown rate indicates takedowns are opportunistic, not primary

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Giga Chikadze (Red Corner)

Age: 37
Country: Georgia
Fighting Style: Karate / Kickboxing

Recent Form

• Loss vs. David Onama (Apr. 2025) – Unanimous Decision
• Loss vs. Arnold Allen (Jul. 2024) – Unanimous Decision
• Win vs. Alex Caceres (Aug. 2023) – Unanimous Decision
• Loss vs. Calvin Kattar (Jan. 2022) – Unanimous Decision
• Win vs. Edson Barboza (Aug. 2021) – KO/TKO, Round 3 (1:44)

A veteran of 20 UFC fights, Chikadze has faced elite competition. His last two outings ended in decision defeats, but his résumé includes highlight-reel knockouts and unorthodox striking.

Key Statistics

• Sig. Strike Accuracy: 43%
• Sig. Strike Defense: 60%
• Takedown Accuracy: 33%
• Takedown Defense: 65%
• Avg. Fight Time: 13:24
• First-Round Finishes: 9

Strengths

• Elite Striking Arsenal: Long reach (74″), karate-based kicks and angles
• Fight IQ & Experience: Over five years in UFC, high-level opponent exposure
• Striking Defense: 60% success rate fending off incoming strikes
• Versatility: Comfortable both on feet and scrambling off the cage

Weaknesses

• Age & Durability: At 37, recovery and cardio can lag against younger foes
• Takedown Defense: 65% suggests vulnerabilities against strong wrestlers
• Decision Outcomes: Four of last five fights went the distance, with mixed results
• Striking Output: 43% accuracy slightly trails elite featherweights

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Head-to-Head Dynamics

This bout is a classic youth vs. experience showdown. Vallejos brings explosive power, elite takedown defense, and a 100% UFC win rate. Chikadze counters with veteran savvy, unorthodox karate striking, and a proven track record in main-card wars. Vallejos must close distance quickly to avoid Chikadze’s long-range kicks and counter-hooks, while Chikadze will look to exploit any defensive lapses with precise leg kicks and switch-kicks. Ultimately, the winner will be the fighter who imposes their style early and negates the opponent’s primary weapons.

Betting Odds & Line Movement

Current Odds

• Kevin Vallejos (Favorite): –240 (BetOnline.ag)
• Giga Chikadze (Underdog): +205 (BetOnline.ag)

As of December 6, 2025, Argentina’s rising star Kevin Vallejos is the clear favorite at –240, implying strong confidence from oddsmakers in his striking prowess and unbeaten UFC record. Georgian veteran Giga Chikadze sits on the other side of the board at +205, making him the live underdog despite his lengthy résumé.

Line Movement History

| Date & Time (UTC) | Vallejos Odds | Chikadze Odds | |---------------------------|---------------|---------------| | Dec. 5, 2025 • 16:25 | –210 | +180 | | Dec. 6, 2025 • 08:10 | –240 | +205 |

• Vallejos has shifted from –210 to –240, indicating increased action or growing confidence in his skill set.
• Chikadze has moved from +180 to +205, suggesting betters are treating him as more of a long-shot.
• These swings are moderate, showing a relatively balanced market with no runaway money on either side.

Implied Probabilities & Potential Payouts

• Kevin Vallejos (–240)

  • Implied win probability: ≈70.6%
  • $1,000 wager returns $1,416.67 total (profit: $416.67)

• Giga Chikadze (+205)

  • Implied win probability: ≈32.8%
  • $1,000 wager returns $3,050 total (profit: $2,050)

If you’re backing the hot hand in Vallejos, you’re looking at a safer, lower-risk return. Chikadze’s odds offer a high-reward scenario if you believe the veteran’s experience can pull off the upset.

Best Sportsbook Recommendation

For this matchup, BetOnline.ag stands out as the top pick:

• Consistently sharp UFC lines
• Competitive juice on both favorites and underdogs
• Easy line shopping across their various markets

That said, always compare odds at multiple sportsbooks—especially if you lean toward the underdog—to maximize value. But for now, BetOnline.ag delivers some of the most attractive odds on both Vallejos and Chikadze for UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Kape.