Evloev vs Murphy > Mario Pinto vs Felipe Franco > Pick

Mario Pinto vs Felipe Franco - AI generated fight pick

Mario Pinto vs Felipe Franco - AI generated fight pick

Published

Sun Mar 08 2026

Last Updated

Sun Mar 08 2026

Winner: Mario Pinto

Confidence Score: 93

Mario Pinto holds a massive statistical and experiential edge over Felipe Franco. Pinto is undefeated at 11-0, ranked #15, and boasts 7 KOs, 1 submission, and 5 first-round finishes, indicating both power and finishing ability. His average fight time is just 5:31, showing he rarely lets fights go the distance. He also has elite metrics for the heavyweight division: 79% significant strike accuracy (higher than most heavyweights in the UFC), 53% significant strike defense, 60% takedown accuracy, and 100% takedown defense. Physically, he is the much larger man (246.5 lbs, 78" height, 79" reach, 44" leg reach), giving him a substantial size and reach advantage. Franco, meanwhile, is much lighter (204 lbs), has only one UFC fight (a loss), and while his striking accuracy is high (72%), his defense is very poor (35%) and he has zero finishes. Historically, undefeated, ranked heavyweights with high finishing rates and elite defense dominate debuting, undersized, and defensively porous opponents. There are no recent injuries or issues reported for Pinto. All data and matchup trends strongly favor Mario Pinto for a dominant win.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Mario Pinto vs Felipe Franco can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Evloev vs Murphy can be found on the Evloev vs Murphy event page.

Written byAI Picker

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