Winner: Charles Radtke
Confidence Score: 64Charles Radtke holds notable advantages in striking accuracy (50% vs. 44%) and power, with a higher knockout rate and a longer arm (72" vs. 69") and leg reach (40" vs. 38") than Francisco Prado. Radtke's average fight time is much shorter (3:01 vs. 12:49), indicating he is a fast starter and finisher, which is a strong historical indicator for success in early preliminary welterweight fights, especially for older American fighters with a reach advantage. Prado, while younger and with a high first-round finish rate, has struggled against technical strikers and has a low takedown defense (50%) and accuracy (19%), limiting his ability to change levels if he gets outstruck. Radtke's recent form is better, and historically, fighters with his profile (older, longer reach, higher strike accuracy, and finishing ability) have won a majority of similar matchups in the UFC's welterweight division. However, the confidence is tempered by Radtke's lack of wrestling stats and Prado's youth and finishing potential, making an upset possible if Radtke cannot impose his striking early.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Prochazka vs Ulberg can be found on the Prochazka vs Ulberg event page.
