Winner: Pat Sabatini
Confidence Score: 65Pat Sabatini's elite grappling and submission skills (12 submission wins, 51% takedown accuracy) present a stylistic challenge for William Gomis, who has only 1 submission win and a lower takedown accuracy (38%) and defense (72%). While Gomis has a significant reach and height advantage, and a high significant strike defense (61%), his recent fights have shown he can be controlled by strong grapplers. Sabatini's average fight time (09:03) indicates he finishes fights quicker, often by submission, and has more first-round finishes (8 vs. 2). Historically, fighters with a strong BJJ base and high takedown accuracy have succeeded against strikers with average takedown defense. However, Sabatini is now 35 and giving up reach/age, so the pick isn't high confidence, but the grappling edge is decisive if he avoids damage early.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Chimaev vs Strickland can be found on the Chimaev vs Strickland event page.
