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Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad 2: UFC Betting Tips & Analysis

Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad 2: UFC Betting Tips & Analysis

Published

Mon Jul 22 2024

Last Updated

Mon Jul 22 2024

Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad 2: Welterweight Title Showdown

The MMA world is abuzz with anticipation as the highly-anticipated Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad 2 fight edges closer. Set to take place at Manchester's Co-op Live on July 28, 2024, this bout is not to be missed. As the main event of UFC 304, it promises to electrify the audience, with fans and bettors alike gearing up for a night of high-octane action.

Setting the Stage

This Welterweight Title matchup is more than just a fight; it's a sequel with a storyline dripping in unfinished business. The last encounter between these two warriors ended in controversy, and the stakes have never been higher. Leon Edwards, the current titleholder, standing proud with a record of 22-3-0, is a formidable opponent to anyone stepping into the octagon. Edwards is known for his clinical striking and has a significant strike accuracy of 53%. His ability to finish fights is evident in his 7 KO and 3 submission victories, including memorable battles against some of the division's elite.

The Challenger

In the blue corner, we have Belal Muhammad, the #2 ranked contender in the welterweight division, with a record of 23-3-0. Muhammad has been on an impressive run, displaying resilience and tactical acumen that have propelled him up the rankings. With betting odds showing him at +185 across several bookmakers like DraftKings and BetMGM, he enters the bout as the underdog, a statistic he is keen to overturn. His notable 58% significant strike defense and impressive 93% takedown defense make him a tough nut to crack, especially considering his recent wins over top-tier opponents like Vicente Luque and Stephen Thompson.

What’s at Stake?

For those looking into detailed UFC betting tips and comprehensive fighter analysis, this fight encapsulates everything that makes MMA thrilling. The betting odds indicate a close contest, with Edwards being the favorite at -225 on multiple platforms, including FanDuel and Bovada. However, these odds have fluctuated leading up to fight night, showcasing the dynamic nature of UFC event predictions.

The Stats to Watch

Our analysis is not complete without diving deeper into the stats. Edwards boasts a higher average fight time of 16:55, suggesting his comfort in extended battles. On the other hand, Muhammad's 14:19 avg fight time proves he's no stranger to going the distance as well. This could be a pivotal aspect, as conditioning and endurance will play a critical role, especially in a title fight scheduled for championship rounds.

Previous Encounters

Adding another layer of intrigue to this fight is their previous encounter, which ended prematurely and left both fighters and fans craving a definitive conclusion. Their histories in the octagon tell a tale of high-level competition, tactical brilliance, and, for Muhammad, a shot at redemption. Edwards’ notable victories over the likes of Nate Diaz and Kamaru Usman further build his case, making this rematch even more climactic.

In summary, the Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad 2 bout is all set to be a blockbuster, both for fight enthusiasts and sports bettors. Whether you're examining conditioning, psychological readiness, or tactical prowess, this fight has all the elements to be an all-time classic. So, gear up for July 28, 2024, as these two titans clash in what promises to be an unforgettable fight night in Manchester.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Edwards vs Muhammad 2 can be found on the Edwards vs Muhammad 2 event page.

Fighter Profiles: Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad

When it comes to the Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad showdown, understanding each fighter's profile can provide valuable insights for both fans and bettors. Here, we break down the backgrounds, recent form, and key statistics of these two welterweight giants to offer a comprehensive overview ahead of their title clash.

Leon Edwards: The Reigning Champion

Background: Leon "Rocky" Edwards hails from Kingston, Jamaica but fights out of England. At 32 years old, Edwards stands at 6 feet tall with a reach of 74 inches. His fighting style is rooted in MMA, showcasing a balanced skill set that includes sharp striking and versatile grappling.

Recent Form: Edwards is coming off a series of standout performances. Despite a controversial fight with Belal Muhammad last time, he has notable wins, including:

  1. Win vs Kamaru Usman (KO/TKO, Round 5)
  2. Loss vs Colby Covington (Decision - Unanimous)
  3. Loss vs Kamaru Usman (Decision - Majority)

These bouts highlight his ability to compete at the highest level, although his recent losses do pose questions about his current form.

Strengths:

  • Striking: Edwards boasts a significant strike accuracy of 53%, one of the highest in the division. His ability to land clean, effective strikes sets him apart.
  • Fight IQ: With an average fight time of 16:55, Edwards demonstrates excellent cardio and strategic awareness, capable of executing game plans over five rounds.
  • Finishing Ability: He has 7 KO wins and 3 submissions, proving he can end fights both standing up and on the ground.

Weaknesses:

  • Takedown Defense: With a takedown defense rate of 70%, there are moments he has shown vulnerability against high-level wrestlers.
  • Consistency: His recent losses could indicate patches of inconsistency that opponents might exploit.

Belal Muhammad: The Resilient Contender

Background: Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad is a 35-year-old fighter from Chicago, United States. Standing at 5 feet 11 inches with a reach of 72 inches, Muhammad primarily employs an orthodox MMA style, focusing on striking and grappling.

Recent Form: Muhammad has been on a remarkable run, evidenced by his last few outings. Here are his recent results:

  1. Win vs Stephen Thompson (Decision - Unanimous)
  2. Win vs Vicente Luque (Decision - Unanimous)
  3. Win vs Sean Brady (KO/TKO, Round 2)
  4. Loss vs Gilbert Burns (Decision - Unanimous)
  5. Win vs Demian Maia (Decision - Unanimous)

These results showcase Muhammad's resilience and tactical versatility, marking him as a serious contender for the title.

Strengths:

  • Defense: Muhammad excels defensively, with a 93% takedown defense and 58% significant strike defense. He manages to neutralize various offensive strategies effectively.
  • Cardio and Durability: With an average fight time of 14:19, he demonstrates resilience, able to push through grueling bouts.
  • Volume Striking: Though not a knockout artist, his 5 KO wins and 43% significant strike accuracy indicate his volume and precision in striking exchanges.

Weaknesses:

  • Finishing Ability: With only 1 submission win, Muhammad may lack the finishing prowess to end fights decisively against elite competition.
  • Offensive Wrestling: His 35% takedown accuracy suggests an area for improvement, especially when attempting to impose his will against high-level grapplers.

Comprehensive Analysis

Both fighters present unique challenges and opportunities. Edwards’ striking precision and finishing ability must be respected, yet his takedown defense can be a focal point for Muhammad's game plan. Conversely, Muhammad's defensive prowess and endurance make him a tough opponent to breakdown, though he might need a more decisive offensive approach to secure the title.

Understanding these profiles provides a nuanced perspective on the Edwards vs Muhammad 2 bout, setting the stage for what promises to be a thrilling encounter in Manchester. For bettors looking at the UFC fighter analysis, these insights can play a crucial role in making informed wagers.

Betting Odds and History: Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad 2

The Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad 2 fight isn't just a battle in the octagon; it's also a hotbed for UFC betting enthusiasts. As we delve into the odds and their history, we’ll provide a comprehensive overview of how the bookmakers see this event and what that means for bettors.

Current Betting Odds

As of the latest updates, the betting odds for Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad reflect a clear favorite and underdog scenario. Edwards is the reigning champion and has received odds ranging from -215 to -225 across different sportsbooks. On the other hand, Muhammad is the underdog, with odds ranging from +172 to +185.

Here’s a snapshot of the current odds from various leading sportsbooks:

Leon Edwards:

  • FanDuel: -225
  • BetRivers: -230
  • DraftKings: -218
  • Caesars: -225
  • BetOnline.ag: -215
  • LowVig.ag: -215
  • BetMGM: -225
  • Bovada: -225

Belal Muhammad:

  • FanDuel: +172
  • BetRivers: +180
  • DraftKings: +180
  • Caesars: +185
  • BetOnline.ag: +185
  • LowVig.ag: +185
  • BetMGM: +185
  • Bovada: +185

Analyzing the Differential

The difference in odds clearly identifies Leon Edwards as the favorite. Betting $1000 on Edwards at odds of -225 means you'd get a payout of around $1444.44, whereas a $1000 bet on Muhammad at +185 could net you a much higher return, around $2850. It’s a classic risk-reward scenario, where betting on the underdog yields a higher potential payout, but with greater risk involved.

Best Sportsbook to Bet On

When it comes to placing bets, different sportsbooks offer slight variations in odds, which can influence where you might want to place your wager.

  • BetMGM and Bovada consistently offer higher underdog odds for Muhammad, making them an appealing option if you believe in his chances.
  • DraftKings and Caesars frequently update their odds and have shown the most stability in their adjustments, making them reliable options for those who want to monitor shifts closely.

Odds History and Their Implications

Over the past few months, the odds have fluctuated significantly:

Leon Edwards Odds History:

  • Opened as high as -310 (FanDuel, May 2024)
  • Settled around -225 in the weeks leading up to the fight

Belal Muhammad Odds History:

  • Opened as low as +230 (FanDuel, May 2024)
  • Stabilized around +185

These shifts indicate that the betting public’s confidence in Edwards has wavered slightly but remains strong. Conversely, confidence in Muhammad has grown, narrowing the odds gap as the fight approaches.

Probability and Payouts

Based on the current odds, the implied probability of Edwards winning is around 69.23%, while Muhammad’s winning probability stands at approximately 35.09%. For those looking at UFC betting tips, understanding these probabilities can help gauge risk and potential reward.

If you’re putting down $1000 on either fighter:

  • Leon Edwards: At -225, a $1000 bet returns approximately $1444.44 (total payout).
  • Belal Muhammad: At +185, a $1000 bet returns approximately $2850 (total payout).

Choosing Your Bet

Ultimately, your decision on where to place your bet depends on your risk tolerance and prediction for the fight outcome. FanDuel and Bovada offer compelling underdog odds for Muhammad, while DraftKings provides relatively stable odds for Edwards, making them a solid choice for those looking to back the favorite.

In summary, understanding the betting landscape for the Edwards vs Muhammad 2 fight helps bettors make informed decisions. Whether you’re leaning towards the favorite or the underdog, there's ample opportunity for a rewarding wager. Keep an eye on the odds as fight night approaches to secure the best possible return on your bet.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez