UFC 317 Betting Guide: Topuria vs. Oliveira Odds & Tips

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira – Lightweight Title Showdown

UFC 317 is set to take place on June 28, 2025, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The event's main card will commence at 2:00 AM ET, featuring a highly anticipated lightweight title bout between Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira.

Fight Details

• Event: UFC 317
• Date: June 28, 2025
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
• Main Card Start Time: 2:00 AM ET
• Main Event: Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira

Fighter Profiles

Ilia Topuria

• Record: 16-0-0
• Notable Wins: Max Holloway, Alexander Volkanovski, Bryce Mitchell
• Fighting Style: Dynamic striker with a well-rounded skill set
• Recent Performance: Undefeated in his UFC career, showcasing exceptional finishing abilities

Charles Oliveira

• Record: 35-10-0 (1 NC)
• Notable Achievements: Former UFC Lightweight Champion, holds records for most finishes and submissions in UFC history
• Fighting Style: Elite Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu practitioner with versatile striking
• Recent Performance: Secured victories over top contenders like Michael Chandler and Beneil Dariush

Betting Odds

As of June 23, 2025, the betting odds for the main event are as follows:

• Ilia Topuria: -400
• Charles Oliveira: +285

These odds reflect Topuria's status as the favorite, with an implied probability of approximately 80% to win the bout. (mmafighting.com)

Key Highlights

• Title Implications: The winner will claim the vacant UFC Lightweight Championship, adding a prestigious title to their resume.
• Topuria's Ambition: Aims to become the 10th UFC fighter to hold titles in two divisions, having previously dominated the featherweight division. (reuters.com)
• Oliveira's Legacy: Seeks to become the first two-time UFC Lightweight Champion, aiming to reclaim the title he lost in 2022. (as.com)

This matchup promises an exciting clash of styles, with Topuria's aggressive striking and Oliveira's submission prowess set to make for a thrilling contest.

Live odds

All the fighter matchups and live odds for Topuria vs Oliveira can be found on the Topuria vs Oliveira event page.

UFC 317 Betting Guide: Topuria vs. Oliveira

The highly anticipated main event of UFC 317 featuring Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira has undoubtedly caught the attention of MMA fans and sports bettors alike. With the lightweight title on the line, this matchup not only boasts technical prowess but also shimmering titles that tilt the odds in intriguing ways.

Main Event Analysis: Topuria vs. Oliveira

Fighter Overview

Ilia Topuria

• Record: 16 wins, 0 losses
• Wins by Knockout: 6
• Wins by Submission: 8
• Average Fight Time: 10:14
• Last Fight: Victory over Max Holloway via TKO in the third round at UFC 316

Topuria has quickly risen through the ranks with an unbeaten record. His aggressive striking, combined with impressive grappling, has made him a nightmare for many fighters. His last victory against former champion Max Holloway showcased his striking power and ability to finish fights quickly. He’s listed as a solid favorite, and the betting lines reflect his strong trajectory in the sport.

Charles Oliveira

• Record: 35 wins, 10 losses, 1 no contest
• Wins by Knockout: 10
• Wins by Submission: 21
• Average Fight Time: 07:38
• Last Fight: Win over Beneil Dariush by KO in the first round at UFC 315

Oliveira, the former UFC Lightweight Champion, holds the record for most finishes in UFC history. After reclaiming his title shot through a resounding win over Dariush, Oliveira aims to cement his legacy further. Despite his experience, he enters the fight as the underdog, with odds reflecting skepticism around his recent performance.

Current Odds

As of the latest updates, the betting odds stand as follows:

• Ilia Topuria: -420 (favorite)
• Charles Oliveira: +320 (underdog)

Odds Movement Analysis

In examining the odds movement leading up to the fight, Topuria opened as the favorite with odds fluctuating between -380 and -420. Conversely, Oliveira's odds have been more variable, opening around +260 and moving up slightly to +320 as betters back his experience and championship pedigree.

Key Matchups on the Card

UFC 317 features an exciting lineup, adding to the betting opportunities:

1. Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France (Flyweight Title)

   • Pantoja is currently favored at -270 against Kara-France at +220.
   • Pantoja recently showcased his submission skills, making him a solid candidate for a bet given his elite finishing abilities.

2. Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano (Lightweight)

   • Dariush is a slight favorite at -120 over Moicano at +100.
   • Both fighters have a history of strong grappling; betting on a decision or submission finish could yield good returns.

3. Viviane Araujo vs. Tracy Cortez (Women’s Flyweight)

   • Cortez has established herself as a favorite at -260 against Araujo at +210.
   • Cortez’s wrestling could give her a significant advantage, making her a potentially smart bet.

Betting Recommendations

Betting on Topuria

Given Topuria's undefeated record, aggressive style, and increasing confidence, betting on him can be considered safe, especially if you’re comfortable paying the higher price at -420. The odds may not be favorable for individual bettors, but parlays with Topuria in a combination bet can yield better returns.

Betting on Oliveira

While Oliveira is the underdog, his submission skills and previous championship experience should not be overlooked. At +320, betting on him presents an opportunity for a significant payout. The fight’s dynamics could lead to a submission finish or even a decision if Oliveira can leverage his grappling effectively.

Close Odds Fighters

In bouts with closely matched odds, such as Dariush vs. Moicano, situational bets considering each fighter’s recent performances can provide value. A small wager on Moicano might be worthwhile due to his ability to finish fights and adapt throughout.

Avoiding High-Risk Bets

When placing bets on matches featuring fighters with widely different odds, caution is recommended. For instance, while it might be tempting to take a shot on an underdog like Araujo, the sustained pressure from Cortez may render that bet unwise, especially given their respective grappling skills.

Conclusion

UFC 317 serves as a remarkable event, providing enticing betting opportunities across various matchups. Topuria emerges as a strong favorite, and betting lines indicate a clearer path for him, while Oliveira's underdog status introduces a compelling narrative around potential upset. Digging deeper into each fighter's recent performances, combined with a savvy understanding of the odds, will help ensure that your betting strategy is well-informed. Remember to keep track of line movements as the fight approaches and adjust your strategies accordingly to maximize your winning potential.

Conclusion: Betting Strategy for UFC 317

As we approach the highly anticipated UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira, there are multiple betting opportunities that savvy bettors can capitalize on. Ilia Topuria presents a compelling case as a favorite, owing to his undefeated record and knockout power, making him a solid pick for a win. However, if you're looking for value, consider the underdog Charles Oliveira—his submission skills and championship experience could lead to an upset, especially given his track record of finishing fights in the Octagon.

For broader betting strategies, a well-structured parlay could include Topuria winning, Pantoja to defeat Kara-France, and Dariush edging out Moicano. This combination not only showcases fighters with winning momentum but also enhances your odds substantially, offering a larger payout for each match victory.

Remember to monitor the evolving odds leading up to the fight, as they can influence your betting strategy. Don’t miss out—stay updated on the latest line movement and live odds by visiting UFC Bet Companion. Betting wisely and staying informed could be the key to finding your edge in this exciting card!